Superforecasting

Author: Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher: Crown
ISBN: 080413670X
Size: 54.38 MB
Format: PDF
View: 4343
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A New York Times Bestseller An Economist Best Book of 2015 "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow." —Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into ...

Superforecasting

Author: Philip Tetlock
Publisher: Random House
ISBN: 1448166594
Size: 21.35 MB
Format: PDF, ePub
View: 2608
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These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.

Superforecasting

Author: Philip Tetlock
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781847947147
Size: 32.92 MB
Format: PDF
View: 7586
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These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.

The Signal And The Noise

Author: Nate Silver
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 1101595957
Size: 57.94 MB
Format: PDF, ePub
View: 970
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One of Wall Street Journal's Best Ten Works of Nonfiction in 2012 New York Times Bestseller “Not so different in spirit from the way public intellectuals like John Kenneth Galbraith once shaped discussions of economic policy and public ...

Superforecasting

Author: Instaread
Publisher: Instaread
ISBN: 1944195483
Size: 30.29 MB
Format: PDF
View: 5333
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It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a professor of psychology and marketing at the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania, to create accurate measurements of the accuracy of forecasting, and to study the ...

Expert Political Judgment

Author: Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400830311
Size: 79.47 MB
Format: PDF, ePub
View: 5494
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This book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.

Future Babble

Author: Daniel Gardner
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 1101476095
Size: 55.36 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
View: 7357
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Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it's so easy for us to ignore the trail of ...

Summary Of Superforecasting

Author: Instaread Summaries
Publisher: Idreambooks
ISBN: 9781945251832
Size: 25.45 MB
Format: PDF, Docs
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Inside this Instaread of Superforecasting:*Overview of the book*Important People*Key Takeaways*Analysis of Key Takeaways

Mindware

Author: Richard E. Nisbett
Publisher: Farrar, Straus and Giroux
ISBN: 0374710678
Size: 51.15 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
View: 1477
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In this groundbreaking book, Nisbett shows us how to frame common problems in such a way that these scientific and statistical principles can be applied to them.